LATEST DEVELOPMENT

New industry forecast reveals US sponsored content spending will exceed $10 billion in 2025—one year earlier than previously predicted—despite ongoing uncertainty around TikTok's future and escalating trade wars disrupting some brand strategies.

INDUSTRY TALK

"Uncertainty around TikTok and the economy is temporarily disrupting some brands' influencer marketing plans. But the industry is bigger than TikTok, and creators are now a core part of media, marketing, and commerce strategies."

-Jasmine Enberg, Industry Analyst

BY THE NUMBERS

Key forecast highlights include:

  • $10+ billion in US sponsored content spending for 2025

  • TikTok accounting for approximately one-fifth of total spend

  • Over 50% of US marketers now using YouTube for influencer campaigns

  • Creators generating $1+ billion from podcasts next year

  • Growth rates for TikTok sponsored content slowing to match YouTube and Instagram

PLATFORM DYNAMICS

Market shifts include:

  • TikTok uncertainty accelerating budget diversification

  • YouTube crossing 50% adoption threshold for influencer marketing

  • Instagram maintaining strong position despite mature growth rates

  • Podcast creator revenues showing significant expansion

  • Multi-platform strategy becoming essential for brands

ECONOMIC FACTORS

Market challenges highlighted by:

  • Escalating US-China trade war creating planning difficulties

  • Tariffs expected to significantly alter consumer shopping behavior

  • Brands adjusting creator partnership terms amid economic uncertainty

  • Resilience of creator economy despite macroeconomic headwinds

  • Influencers increasingly integrated into core media and commerce strategies

THE BOTTOM LINE

Despite short-term disruptions from TikTok's uncertain future and trade tensions, the influencer marketing industry continues to mature and diversify—demonstrating that creator partnerships have evolved from experimental tactics to essential components of modern marketing strategy as brands allocate increasing portions of their budgets to this resilient and expanding channel.

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